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サケ回復投資を最適化する新手法を提案(Costly Efforts to Reopen Rivers for Fish Can Produce Mixed Results)

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2026-06-03 ワシントン大学 (UW)

米国ワシントン大学の研究チームは、ダム撤去や魚道整備などによる河川の連結性回復事業について、投資効果を事前評価する新たな分析手法を開発した。河川再生はサケなど回遊魚の生息環境改善に有効とされる一方、上流域の水温上昇や生息地の劣化などにより、期待した効果が得られず「座礁資産(stranded investments)」となるリスクがある。研究では、気候変動や生息環境の質を考慮しながら、どの障害物を除去すれば最も高い生態学的利益が得られるかを評価する枠組みを提示した。米国太平洋岸北西部のサケ生息域を対象とした事例分析では、単純な河川接続性の向上だけでは十分でなく、生息地の将来的な適性を考慮した優先順位付けが重要であることが示された。この手法は限られた予算の中で効果的な河川再生計画を立案し、生物多様性保全と投資効率の両立に役立つと期待されている。

サケ回復投資を最適化する新手法を提案(Costly Efforts to Reopen Rivers for Fish Can Produce Mixed Results)

The Washington State Department of Transportation working on a barrier to fish passage beneath northbound I-5 near Alger/Lake Samish Road. By replacing old culverts with fish-friendly ones, these projects open up miles of habitat for fish to spawn. Photo: WSDOT

<関連情報>

遡河性魚類の遡上を支援するための復元ヒューリスティクスの改善 Improving restoration heuristics to support anadromous fish passage

Sunny L. Jardine ,Logan Blair,Catalina Burch,Andrew Cooke,Robert Fonner,Daniel S. Holland,J. Kahn,Connor Lewis-Smith,Luke W. Rogers,Mark D. Scheuerell,Braeden Van Deynze

PLOS One  Published: June 3, 2026

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0348150

Abstract

Investments in restoring river connectivity are growing worldwide to support freshwater biodiversity. Although optimization methods exist for selecting cost-effective restoration portfolios, decisions are often guided by simple heuristic rules. For example, managers may prioritize restoring barriers blocking the largest amounts of high-quality upstream habitat, ignoring the position of other barriers in the system. These heuristics often rely on proxies for watershed connectivity and habitat quality. Using anadromous fish passage restoration in western Washington, USA, as a case study, we show that redesigning these heuristics can yield substantial performance gains. Benchmarking common heuristics against optimization outcomes reveals that connectivity proxies based on total upstream habitat can achieve 93% of optimal gains when increasing habitat quantity is the sole objective, but adding widely used proxies for habitat quality (e.g., percent of upstream natural land cover) can cut performance nearly in half. These findings underscore the importance of designing heuristics that more directly target high-quality habitat gains to improve investment efficiency and help close the science–practice gap between optimization research and on-the-ground restoration decisions.

0904河川砂防及び海岸海洋
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