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大規模言語モデルで交通事故解析を高度化(UH Professor Uses Artificial Intelligence to Make Roads Safer)

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2026-07-16 ヒューストン大学

ヒューストン大学の研究チームは、交通事故の発生要因をより高精度に分析・予測するため、人工知能(AI)を活用した新たな解析手法を開発した。従来の交通事故分析では、道路構造や交通量、気象条件などの要因を個別または線形的に評価することが多かったが、本研究では機械学習を用いて多様な要因間の複雑な相互作用を解析し、事故発生リスクに大きく影響する要素を高い精度で特定した。その結果、道路環境や交通条件、周辺地域の特性などが重なり合うことで事故リスクが変化することが明らかとなり、従来手法では捉えにくい危険箇所や潜在的なリスクを抽出できた。研究成果は、道路設計や交通安全対策の優先順位付け、インフラ整備、事故防止政策の立案を科学的に支援するものであり、限られた予算の中で効果的な安全対策を実施するための意思決定ツールとして期待される。

大規模言語モデルで交通事故解析を高度化(UH Professor Uses Artificial Intelligence to Make Roads Safer)

A University of Houston engineer is using AI to connect transportation data, uncovering patterns that could improve road safety.

<関連情報>

舗装路面の状態記録とLLMベースの事故状況分析を統合した舗装路面の安全性評価 Integrating pavement condition records with LLM-based crash narrative analysis for pavement safety assessment

Sarayu Varma Gottimukkala, Lu Gao, Nasir Gharaibeh, Yussuf Tarnini, Mohammad Talebzadeh, Boni Kutela, Tejaswini Sanjay Katale

Accident Analysis & Prevention  Available online 31 May 2026

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2026.108609

Highlights

  • We label crash narratives by pavement mechanism using a prompted LLM.
  • We link narrative labels to pavement condition, friction, and texture data.
  • We estimate pavement factor effects with quantile regression.
  • A 24,000-narrative case study links friction and texture to wet crashes.
  • The workflow connects crash narratives to pavement maintenance screening.

Abstract

This paper proposes an integrated framework that couples Large Language Models (LLMs)-based crash narrative analysis with quantile regression to identify and quantify pavement-related crash risk. The LLM component converts unstructured police narratives into structured, mechanism-specific labels (e.g., hydroplaning, curve-related loss of control), which enables outcomes that are directly linked to pavement and roadway-surface conditions that are often missing from conventional structured crash fields. These LLM-derived mechanism labels are then matched to segment-level pavement condition, friction, texture, traffic exposure, and geometric characteristics and modeled using quantile regression to characterize how covariate effects vary across the full distribution of crash risk rather than only at the mean. A case study using over 24,000 police crash narratives linked to a pavement management dataset of approximately 180,000 data records demonstrates strong associations between friction/texture measures and wet-pavement crash mechanisms. These results can help transportation agencies select candidate pavement-safety projects by identifying pavement conditions associated with elevated crash risk and prioritizing targeted, cost-effective countermeasures.

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