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テキサス州貯水池の毎日の蒸発量を追跡する新しいアルゴリズム(New Algorithm Tracks Texas Daily Reservoir Evaporation Rates)

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2024-06-10 テキサス A&M大学

テキサス州の189の主要な貯水池は、夏の高温による蒸発率の増加により厳しい状況に直面しています。これに対処するため、テキサスA&M大学の研究者たちが、日々の蒸発率をより正確に推定する新しい方法を開発しました。この方法は、貯水池の運用や水資源の長期計画に役立つと期待されています。従来の方法では、蒸発パンを使用して蒸発量を推定していましたが、これには多くの不正確さが含まれていました。新しいアルゴリズムは、風や温度などの気象データを使用して、より正確な蒸発率を計算します。この研究は、テキサス州の貯水池だけでなく、アメリカ西部の主要貯水池にも応用が広がっています。

<関連情報>

汎用的な日次湖水蒸発モデルの開発とテキサス州での適用実証 Developing a General Daily Lake Evaporation Model and Demonstrating Its Application in the State of Texas

Bingjie Zhao, Justin Huntington, Christopher Pearson, Gang Zhao, Thomas Ott, John Zhu, Andrew Weinberg, Kathleen D. Holman, Shuai Zhang, Ron Anderson, Maxwell Strickler, Jerry Cotter …

Water Resources Research  Published: 11 March 2024

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036181

Details are in the caption following the image

Abstract

Open water evaporation, which often consumes a large fraction of annual storage (especially in arid and semi-arid regions), is a controlling variable for modern water resource management. Developing a daily reservoir evaporation data set is necessary for reservoir operations to consider the influence of evaporation in a timely manner. However, over the past few decades, the quantification of reservoir evaporation has primarily relied on monthly Class A pan evaporation observations, which might lead to largely biased estimations because they do not incorporate the effects of heat storage and fetch. In this study, we developed a general Daily Lake Evaporation Model (DLEM) based on Penman’s equation combined with daily atmospheric reanalysis data sets, to improve the validity and frequency of reservoir evaporation monitoring. Compared with daily evaporation estimates from eddy covariance systems, the DLEM showed good quality and reliability, with R2 values ranging from 0.50 to 0.73 and RMSE values ranging from 1.13 to 1.97 mm day−1 in four different sites. By applying DLEM to all 188 major reservoirs in Texas, we generated a long-term data set of (1 January 1981–31 December 2021) daily evaporation rates. The results reveal a clear geographic distribution and strong seasonality of evaporation throughout Texas, where the mean evaporation rate is highest during July, with 6.85 mm day−1. Trend analysis indicates that the annual average evaporation rate has significantly increased since 1981 at a rate of 0.076 mm day−1 decade−1. This study provides sufficient data support for water resource operations and management, and regional water planning.

Key Points

  • A general Daily Lake Evaporation Model (DLEM) is developed on modified-Penman evaporation and compared with in situ eddy covariance measurements
  • A first long-term (40+ years) regional scale daily reservoir evaporation data set is generated for 188 major reservoirs in Texas (US)
  • While shortwave radiation affects the long-term spatial distribution and trends, high wind speed is likely to cause daily extremes
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