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気候変動への対応に向けた新しいモデリング技術(UH Researcher Unveils New Model to Evaluate Impact of Extreme Events and Natural Hazards)

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2025-04-14 ヒューストン大学

ューストン大学の研究チームは、極端気象や自然災害がガルベストン湾の汚染拡散に与える影響を評価するための高精度モデルを開発。新たな数値モデルは、淡水と海水が混ざる汽水域での水流と汚染物質の動きを予測可能にし、豪雨やハリケーンが堆積物を移動させ汚染物質を再分配する様子も解析可能。これは沿岸地域の水質管理や生態系保全に貢献し、洪水や環境リスクへの対応を強化する。

<関連情報>

都市河口における水塊の動態のモデリングと汚染物質輸送およびシステム挙動への影響 Modeling water column dynamics in an urban estuary and their impacts on pollutant transport and system behavior

Adithya Govindarajan,Hanadi S. Rifai & Martin Nguyen

Environmental Science and Pollution Research  Published:17 March 2025

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-025-36258-x

気候変動への対応に向けた新しいモデリング技術(UH Researcher Unveils New Model to Evaluate Impact of Extreme Events and Natural Hazards)

Abstract

Estuarine systems are characterized by mixing of freshwater with saline inputs, and varying flow magnitudes, flow velocities, and sediment dynamics; such complexities make it difficult to understand pollutant fate and transport within them. Models have been developed to simulate many estuaries in the US and elsewhere; however, gaps remain in abilities to rigorously simulate the interrelations between hydrodynamics, sediment, and pollutant fate and transport. In this study, the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) is used to explore the impact of various variables and their setup within estuarine models on appropriately simulating system hydrodynamics and sediment and pollutant fate and transport. Results from simulating the Houston Ship Channel-San Jacinto River (HSC-SJR) within the Galveston Bay (GB) estuarine system with EFDC support the need for inclusion of forcing events such as rainfall and storms; use of multi-sediment and water layers to simulate the vertical component of the estuarine system; and detailed sensitivity analyses to calibrate and validate model inputs associated with sediment variables, salinities, and other transport and fate mechanisms. Particle tracking is also key to examine the fate and transport from multiple pollution sources as a function of hydrodynamics and forcing functions of rainfall and tidal influences. The developed illustrative simulations of the HSC-SJR revealed important findings that include the locations of interest in the system with unique hydrodynamics and possible effects on system variables during storm conditions; predicting pollutant fate and transport with the developed rigorous model was demonstrated using particle tracking and simulating particle transport from multiple sources within the estuary.

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0904河川砂防及び海岸海洋
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