ad

河川ネットワークの季節変動を予測する新しい解析手法 (Predicting seasonal changes in river networks)

ad

2025-02-13 カリフォルニア大学サンタバーバラ校 (UCSB)

カリフォルニア大学サンタバーバラ校の研究者チームは、河川ネットワークの季節的な変化を予測するため、ストリームデータと地形測定を組み合わせたモデルを開発しました。このモデルにより、流域の水量に応じて河川ネットワークの長さや構成が動的に変化する様子を初めて予測することが可能となりました。研究の結果、山岳地帯の河川ネットワークは比較的安定している一方、低地のネットワークはより変動が大きいことが明らかになりました。また、典型的な河川ネットワークの約80%が非永続的な流路で構成されており、これらは年間を通じて流れたり乾いたりすることが示されました。この研究は、気候変動が河川生態系に与える影響を理解し、水質管理や生態系保全の戦略を策定する上で重要な知見を提供します。

<関連情報>

アメリカ全土における流路網の長さの変化 Variability of flowing stream network length across the US

Jeff P. Prancevic, Hansjörg Seybold, and James W. Kirchner

science  Published:13 Feb 2025

Editor’s summary

Ephemeral streams flow only sporadically and are dry the rest of the time. How much does their coming and going affect overall stream network length? Prancevic et al. used a semimechanistic model combined with stream gauge measurements and topographical data to estimate the variability of stream network length across the entire contiguous United States. This approach allowed them to conclude that the median US stream network is six times longer during annual high-flow conditions than during annual low-flow conditions. —Jesse Smith

Abstract

The aggregate length of flowing streams in a drainage network lengthens and shortens as landscapes become wetter and drier. However, direct measurements of stream network variability have been limited to a handful of small drainage basins. We estimated the variability of stream network length for 14,765 gauged basins across the contiguous United States using measured streamflow distributions and topography-based estimates of how sensitive each stream network is to changing landscape wetness (the network’s elasticity). We find that the median US stream network is five times longer during annual high-flow conditions than during annual low-flow conditions. Stream networks are more dynamic in some regions than in others, driven by regional differences in both hydroclimatology and the networks’ elasticity in response to hydroclimatic forcing.

地形による流路の伸縮の制御 Topographic Controls on the Extension and Retraction of Flowing Streams

Jeff P. Prancevic, James W. Kirchner

Geophysical Research Letters  Published: 01 February 2019

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081799

河川ネットワークの季節変動を予測する新しい解析手法 (Predicting seasonal changes in river networks)

Abstract

Flowing stream networks extend and retract as their surrounding landscapes wet up and dry out, both seasonally and during rainstorms, with implications for aquatic ecosystems and greenhouse gas exchange. Some networks are much more dynamic than others, however, and the reasons for this difference are unknown. Here we show that the tendency of stream networks to extend and retract can be predicted from down-valley changes in topographic attributes (slope, curvature, and contributing drainage area), without measuring subsurface hydrologic properties. Topography determines where water accumulates within valley networks, and we propose that it also modulates flow partitioning between the surface and subsurface. Measurements from 17 mountain stream networks support this hypothesis, showing that undissected valley heads have greater subsurface transport capacities than sharply incised valleys downstream. In catchments where broad valley heads rapidly transition to sharply incised valleys, subsurface transport capacity decreases abruptly, stabilizing stream length through wet and dry periods.

Key Points

  • Some flowing stream networks lengthen dramatically as their catchments become wetter, whereas others change much less
  • This tendency for networks to extend and retract can be predicted from down-valley changes in slope, drainage area, and curvature
  • As valleys become more sharply incised downstream, subsurface transmissivity decreases, which helps stabilize flowing stream length

Plain Language Summary

Although stream networks are represented as fixed blue lines on maps, the actual extent of flowing water dynamically adjusts as landscapes become wetter and drier. This is an old observation, but one without a satisfying physical explanation. Intuitively, flowing streams extend during wetter periods, as smaller parts of the landscape are able to supply enough water to support streamflow. But the supply of water is only part of the story, because some parts of the landscape may have greater capacity to move supplied water through the subsurface without streamflow, affecting where water ultimately emerges. In this study, we use observations from 17 mountainous landscapes to show that topography can be used to predict both the supply of water and the capacity to move that water through the subsurface. Consequently, topographic maps can tell us how much a stream network will extend as its surrounding landscape becomes wetter. This helps us predict how dynamic (or, conversely, stable) stream networks will be during rainstorms, droughts, and longer-term climatic shifts.

ad
0904河川砂防及び海岸海洋
ad
ad


Follow
ad
ad
タイトルとURLをコピーしました