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川の流路は侵食に基づいて選ばれる:洪水計画の転換となる発見(Rivers choose their path based on erosion ― a discovery that could transform flood planning and restoration)

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2025-07-10 カリフォルニア大学サンタバーバラ校(UCSB)

川の流路は侵食に基づいて選ばれる:洪水計画の転換となる発見(Rivers choose their path based on erosion ― a discovery that could transform flood planning and restoration)Photo Credit:Luca Ronchi via iStock
Multi-channel rivers predominate in Iceland’s easily eroded volcanic soil.

カリフォルニア大学サンタバーバラ校の研究チームは、36年分の衛星画像から世界84河川を解析し、河川が単一流路か多重流路になるかは「侵食と堆積のバランス」で決まると解明した。河岸の侵食が堆積を上回ると川幅が拡大し分流が生じる。これにより、従来謎とされていた流路形成の原理が明確化された。新モデルにより、洪水リスクの把握や復元事業の設計精度が向上し、単一流路を多重流路に戻す再自然化が現実的かつ安価になる可能性も示された。成果は『Science』誌に掲載。

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横方向への浸食と付加の(不均衡な)バランスから生じる単層および多層河川 Single- and multithread rivers originate from (im)balance between lateral erosion and accretion

Austin J. Chadwick, Evan Greenberg, and Vamsi Ganti
Science  Published:10 Jul 2025

Editor’s summary

In rivers, water and sediment move down one or more pathways, or threads. Dams and dikes have forced many multithreaded rivers into single pathways, and effective restoration depends on knowing the mechanism behind a river’s original state. Using satellite imagery to measure changes over 36 years, Chadwick et al. determined that multithreaded rivers develop from an imbalance that favors erosion over deposition. Contrary to the common practice of erosion prevention, these findings suggest that allowing bank erosion would be a more effective way to bring modified rivers back to their natural state. —Angela Hessler

Abstract

Why river channels confine flow to a single pathway or divide flow into multiple interwoven pathways (threads) forms a long-standing fundamental question in river science, which to date remains poorly understood. In this study, we probed channel-pattern origins by mapping thread dynamics along 84 rivers from 36 years of global satellite imagery using particle image velocimetry. Results show that single-thread channels originate from a balance between lateral erosion and accretion, which enables a thread to migrate while maintaining equilibrium width. In contrast, multithread channels originate from imbalance—erosion outpaces accretion in individual threads, causing threads to repeatedly widen and split. Thread-width imbalance provides a mechanistic explanation for how multithread channels develop on Earth and other planets and, in application, can help lower the cost of nature-based river restoration projects.

 

川はどこへジャンプするか Where rivers jump course

Sam Brooke, Austin J. Chadwick, Jose Silvestre, Michael P. Lamb, […] , and Vamsi Ganti
Science  Published:26 May 2022
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abm1215

Abruptly changing course

River avulsions are places where a river abandons its channel, and they are a common feature of geomorphological structures such as deltas. Brooke et al. used 50 years of satellite images to look at the location and change in river avulsions globally (see the Perspective by Passalacqua and Moodie) and found that avulsions are often tied to changes in channel slope or sedimentation just upstream of the river. However, in some cases, the river avulsion is farther upstream than expected, likely due to erosional processes. Understanding what controls avulsion location in the context of climate and land use changes is vital because avulsions are strongly tied to risks from flooding. —BG

Abstract

Rivers can abruptly shift pathways in rare events called avulsions, which cause devastating floods. The controls on avulsion locations are poorly understood as a result of sparse data on such features. We analyzed nearly 50 years of satellite imagery and documented 113 avulsions across the globe that indicate three distinct controls on avulsion location. Avulsions on fans coincide with valley-confinement change, whereas avulsions on deltas are primarily clustered within the backwater zone, indicating a control by spatial flow deceleration or acceleration during floods. However, 38% of avulsions on deltas occurred upstream of backwater effects. These events occurred in steep, sediment-rich rivers in tropical and desert environments. Our results indicate that avulsion location on deltas is set by the upstream extent of flood-driven erosion, which is typically limited to the backwater zone but can extend far upstream in steep, sediment-laden rivers. Our findings elucidate how avulsion hazards might respond to land use and climate change.

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